Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.125047 0.137892 0.151041 0.165482 0.180866 0.196738 0.214324
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.102490 0.121571 0.142070 0.165608 0.191759 0.219802 0.252024
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.083829 0.106426 0.131796 0.162087 0.196965 0.235575 0.281248
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.074771 0.100563 0.130602 0.167619 0.211452 0.261169 0.321278
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.066900 0.094927 0.128680 0.171458 0.223360 0.283459 0.357452
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059870 0.089401 0.126102 0.173827 0.233007 0.302792 0.390079
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053335 0.083738 0.122687 0.174581 0.240243 0.318969 0.418846
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052252 0.085080 0.128065 0.186323 0.261076 0.351724 0.467836
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047855 0.081419 0.126524 0.188889 0.270214 0.370118 0.499481
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.044432 0.078777 0.126055 0.192625 0.280699 0.390142 0.533213
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040118 0.074424 0.122897 0.192486 0.285964 0.403514 0.558698
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038996 0.074724 0.126146 0.200970 0.302536 0.431297 0.602410
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037705 0.074855 0.129401 0.209921 0.320429 0.461724 0.650792
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034147 0.071105 0.126830 0.210656 0.327355 0.478198 0.681823
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029727 0.065510 0.121164 0.206711 0.327738 0.486089 0.701934
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028339 0.064883 0.122906 0.213358 0.342660 0.513156 0.746988
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026592 0.063451 0.123280 0.217941 0.354729 0.536550 0.787497
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024617 0.061406 0.122533 0.220758 0.364291 0.556652 0.823861
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.022434 0.058741 0.120603 0.221655 0.371056 0.572999 0.855389
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022928 0.061226 0.127144 0.235523 0.396497 0.614809 0.920879
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.021361 0.059523 0.126648 0.238548 0.406373 0.635577 0.958661
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.020158 0.058424 0.127074 0.242949 0.418243 0.659137 1.000321
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.018296 0.055761 0.124668 0.242785 0.423383 0.673452 1.029688